Habtamu Girma Demiessie, Assistant Professor of Economics at Jigjiga University
Abiy Ahmed(PhD) clinched the Chief Executive position of the country a year and a half ago. He was a new face in the Ethiopian political scene. But he had developed his leadership qualities behind the scenes. Though he is relatively young, he already has more than twenty years of public service as a soldier, cybersecurity officer, a bureaucrat and as a minister.
Abiy`s inaugural speech in the Ethiopian Parliament that was televised live to the public was well received. It was a reminder that he cleverly identified and well understood the breadth and width of problems Ethiopia was facing. He identified the problem of state governance in Ethiopia as the cumulative effect of interventions focused on short term solutions rather than policies that focus on healing the root causes. He located underutilization of resources and disguised unemployment in the realm of human capital. He underscored that project management issues in mega state projects are chronic problems that needed to be tackled right away.
Though this raised expectations, at the same time, it also sowed seeds of doubt whether Abiy will be capable and committed enough to address those problems. The 18 months of his rule has shown the leader is not only able to sort out problems, but also committed to resolving them.
The first three months of his power were spent in trying to heal old wounds and narrow the polarisation in Ethiopian politics. He reached out to communities in all corners within Ethiopia and abroad. Because of these activities in the first few months of coming to power, he became very popular.
Many even dubbed him as the messiah that is going to solve all the problems of the past – from poverty to internal displacement to mass communal violence that has taken the lives of many.
But as time passed through, things began to change quickly, with popular views on Abiy beginning to change. The applaud started turning into gross condemnation, where a sizable portion of the populace began unfounded criticisms, if not a hostile attitude towards the leader. In many cases, the elite group has been blaming Abiy`s administration without concrete evidence.
But while his popularity was beginning to decline at home and he was facing increasingly stern criticism, the Nobel prize committee surprised everyone by awarding him the Nobel Peace Prize. That was mainly for his effort to bring peace between Eritrea and Ethiopia. His peace initiatives in other neighbouring countries were also recognised as well as the reforms he had initiated at home.
However, for the most part, most of his success is in foreign relations so far. The situation at home has proved to be more challenging. He seems to be more popular on the international scene than domestically.
The international community seems to be willing to give his governing philosophy, Medemer, a chance. They seem to be more willing to believe it can address the multitudes of problem Ethiopia is facing. The governance principle of Abiy is focused on the importance of optimising the potential of his country from the immense natural resources, a rising stockpile of human capital and rich social capital.
Medemer is based on the importance of resurrecting mindsets from all sources of negative energy: hate, animosity, revenge mentality.
The steps that need to be taken going forward are actions towards healing the fractures of Ethiopian political culture. A typical feature of Ethiopian political culture is a lack of a history of resolving differences through dialogue, on give and take principle. Sadly, in Ethiopia resolving political differences has been through political playoffs. Abiy has inherited this political culture. And his grand political project is to build a political system that heals the ills of this culture.
So far, key legal and institutional arrangements were made to achieve that. One such move was the refurbishment of the national electoral board of Ethiopia in a way that better insulate it from political interferences. The national reconciliation commission has also been formed, aimed at addressing the discontent some groups feel from whatever injustices in the past.
Of course, there are many challenges remaining that Abiy has inherited from the past. All these problems are not going to be solved overnight. But it has to be started somewhere and he has started that journey.
The world seems to have understood this and wants to encourage it further. That explains the awarding of the Nobel Peace Prize. The prize is not just a personal reward for the Ethiopian Premier. It also gives hope that every one of us that believe in love, peace and reconciliation have a place in today’s turbulent times when leaders in all corners voice out against those essential values of humanity.
For Ethiopians though, it seems like there is a reluctance to appreciate the achievements of their leader. The vocal critics of Abiy often raise the prevailing instabilities in different parts of the country. But, it is unfortunate that they fail to see that those problems are results of a political decay accumulated in the past three decades.
My message to fellow Ethiopians is that while it is right to be vigilant, so Abiy may not get out of his line of promises, we have to understand mistakes are inevitable in the process of any work. Ethiopians have to stand with the prime minister to minimise the mistakes and maximise the benefits of the process of change that we are all are desperate about. Let us not look at Abiy, but let us look at where he is looking.

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